When the fight between Robert Whittaker and Khamzat Chimaev was announced for the UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway, it immediately got the attention of fight fans worldwide. Both fighters have incredibly impressive records, and it’s hard to predict the outcome. However, after thoroughly analyzing the fighters, their strengths, weaknesses, and previous fights, it seems likely that Robert Whittaker will emerge as the anticipated winner.
Whittaker, hailing from Australia, is a comprehensive mixed martial artist with a balanced record across striking, grappling, and ground fighting. Known for his versatile fighting style, Whittaker can handle his opponents in various circumstances. However, his strength undoubtedly lies in his striking, which has proved deadly to many of his opponents.
Contrarily, Khamzat Chimaev is built as a grappling specialist. The Chechen-born fighter, training out of Sweden, is known for his imposing wrestling skills and heavy handed striking. His aggressive approach and superior ground game have made him a formidable fighter in the Octagon.
Analyzing both fighters’ performance, it’s evident that where Whittaker excels in striking and defensive tactics, Chimaev dominates with his wrestling skills. Yet, if one has to pick a likely winner, Whittaker may just have the edge.
To start, Whittaker has the experience advantage. With a professional record of 24 wins and 5 losses, it’s clear that the Australian is battle-hardened. He has faced more high-level competition than his upcoming opponent. Whittaker has tangled with eminent names like Yoel Romero, Israel Adesanya, Jacare Souza, and Darren Till, to name a few, which undeniably gives him a competitive edge. Each of these fights offered unique learning experiences that have helped to mould Whittaker into a more versatile and adaptive fighter.
On the flip side, Chimaev, although unbeaten in his professional career with 10 wins, he hasn’t faced as many top-ranked opponents as Whittaker. Although his UFC record of 4-0 is impressive, he will face a significant step up in competition when he squares off against Whittaker.
Another focal point in this bout is Whittaker’s excellent takedown defence. The ‘Reaper’ boasts an impressive 84% takedown defence rate, showcasing that he’s more than capable of thwarting most attacks on the ground. This will prove pivotal when against a high-level wrestler like Chimaev, whose gameplan invariably involves taking his opponents down.
Also, Whittaker’s endurance in later rounds is noteworthy. He has proven time and time again that he can maintain a high pace deep into fights. Conversely, Chimaev’s cardio and endurance in a potential five-round main event is still untested.
It’s not all one-sided in favour of Whittaker, though. Chimaev’s relentless offense and incredible strength will undoubtedly pose problems for Whittaker. ‘Borz’ relies heavily on his wrestling skills, and his 88% takedown accuracy could put Whittaker on the defensive. Not to mention his lethal striking power that has led to a number of his KO/TKO victories.
Nonetheless, Whittaker’s striking game, coupled with his experience and exceptional takedown defence, may just win him this fight. If the ‘Reaper’ can manage to keep the fight standing, we could see Chimaev in an unfamiliar territory where Whittaker unquestionably has the edge.
Another key factor not to overlook is Whittaker’s comeback strength. He’s shown exceptional resilience after his loss to Israel Adesanya, racking up wins against sturdy competitors like Darren Till, Jared Cannonier, and Kelvin Gastelum. On the other hand, for Chimaev, his return to the Octagon after his health ordeal due to COVID-19 has been impressive but has yet to face a top 5 adversary like Whittaker.
Admittedly, the margin between the two fighters is thin, and the thrilling unpredictability of the sport means anything can happen in the fight. Both fighters possess the ability to finish the bout – either via TKO or submission. But, considering all aspects and based on the analysis, the likelier scenario sees Robert Whittaker gaining the upper hand over Khamzat Chimaev.
To conclude, it’s safe to predict that the Whittaker and Chimaev fight will be a tightly contested event – both veterans proving they have what it takes to compete at the top level. However, Robert “The Reaper” Whittaker’s experience, striking ability, and incredible takedown defence may grant him an edge over his opponent, making him the anticipated winner in Robert Whittaker vs. Khamzat Chimaev for UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway.
