Angela “Overkill” Hill (20-12-8) will look to make history this Sat. (Sept. 12) as the first black female to headline a UFC event. She will have her hands filled however with former Invicta Champion Michelle “The Karate Hottie” Waterson (25-17-8). The five round bout will take place at the UFC APEX Center in Las Vegas, NV in front of a limited crowd. Despite Waterson’s former accolades and higher experience, oddsmakers see Michelle as an underdog (+115) to the favored Hill (-135). Let’s break down our Waterson vs Hill Prediction with each athletes path to victory.

Angela Hills Road to Victory

Overkill has clearly turned a corner in her career. She may have lost a close decision to Claudia Gadelha in her last bout in May, but in many fan’s eyes, it was a victory over the former top contender. Hill, like her opponent has a strong kicking game, due to her Muay Thai and Kickboxing background. With her 2-inch reach advantage, she may be able to make work in the clinch with her dangerous elbows. Hill’s only area of concern is going to the ground with Waterson. She may have a decent ground game, but on paper Waterson is the more dangerous grappler. Hill’s road to victory should be to keep it standing and slowly work in to the clinch, while avoiding her opponent’s dangerous karate kicks.

Waterson vs Hill Prediction

Michelle Waterson’s Path to Victory

The Karate Hottie’s dream is to be the first UFC Mom champ. To do so she’s going to need to keep up her creativity to compensate for her smaller frame for the weight-class. Her two weapons are no secret – kicks on the outside and slick submissions on the ground. Her grit and durability is also a gift and curse as we’ve seen her pull out the win, but also take unnecessary damage as she did against former champ, Joanna JÄ™drzejczyk. If Michelle can land one of her signature switch kicks and get it to the ground, we just may see the rise of the first UFC Mom.

Have your own Waterson vs Hill Prediction? Let us know in the comments below.

Waterson vs. Hill Prediction

The oddsmakers look to have the odds right. The two look to be at a cross-roads with Waterson on the way down and Hill on the rise. That hurts to say as a big fan of Waterson. It’s unfortunate that there is not a lighter weight for Waterson as she could likely be a 105 lb. champ, as she was in Invicta Atomweight champ. The last time Waterson fought a lengthy kickboxer (JÄ™drzejczyk) it was a five round decision loss, and its looking like history is repeating itself.

Prediction: Angela Hill by Unanimous Decision.

46%
PROBABILITY
54%

+115

ODDS

-135

Orthodox

STANCE

Orthodox

18-9-0

RECORD

15-13-0

1

WINSTREAK

0

3

WINS BY KO

5

9

WINS BY SUB

2

6

WINS BY DECISION

8

62"

REACH

64"

62"

LEG REACH

64"

36

AGE

38