If youโ€™re an MMA fan, you are certainly eagerly waiting for the upcoming UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington match. One of the most enticing fights of the event is between Shavkat Rakhmonov and Stephen Thompson. So, who do we predict will emerge victoriously? According to our intricate analysis, Shavkat Rakhmonov appears most likely to stand out.

Shavkat’s path to victory

Shavkat Rakhmonov, a fast-rising talent from Kazakhstan, comes into the contest as the clear favorite with -455 odds. This aptly reflects his impressive unbeaten record – having claimed victories in each of his professional fights. Encompassing victories over several formidable contenders like Michel Prazeres and Alex Oliveira, Rakhmonov’s unquestionable prowess has been tested and proven time and time again. He possesses exceptional brute strength and technical execution.

His style heavily leans on striking, and he’s particularly adept at using his long reach to control the fight from the center of the Octagon. His ability to lead the pace shows a level of experience and strategy that can easily unnerve his opponents.

Wonderboy’s path to victory

However, it would be unwise to discount Stephen Thompson’s abilities within the Octagon. Slotted in as the underdog for this bout at +350, Thompson, colloquially known as ‘Wonderboy’ in MMA circles, brings an extensive wealth of experience into the fight. With a striking style honed by years in professional kickboxing, Thompson has a tricky in-out movement that can confuse opponents, and his unorthodox angles make him an unpredictable threat.

Defeating Thompson is no simple task, and should not be taken lightly. His experience has seen him through numerous battles against top-level fighters, most notably his victories against Rory MacDonald and Jorge Masvidal. However, in recent matchups, Thompson has struggled primarily with fighters who can impose a brutal pace while maintaining technical brilliance.

Relating Thompson’s weaknesses to Rakhmonov’s strengths is why we see Rakhmonov as the possible victor in this fight. Thompson has difficulty dealing with high-pressure scenarios presented by his opponents’ aggressive styles. Given Rakhmonov’s confounding blend of power and tactical genius in controlling the Octagon – increasing the tempo when needed, and dropping out when necessary – he fits the bill of fighters Thompson often struggles with.

While Thompson’s striking can’t be underestimated, Rakhmonov is not a straightforward striker against whom Thompson can use his tricks. Moreover, Rakhmonov has a distinct advantage when it comes to ground fighting, making him an imminent threat if Thompson’s defenses fall short.

However, the unpredictability that combat sports like MMA bring makes the prediction unassured. All it takes is a well-placed punch or kick from ‘Wonderboy’ Thompson to flip the predictions. In addition, Rakhmonov’s relative lack of experience against top-tier fighters like Thompson can be a potential surprise factor.

Ultimately, it all comes down to tactics, execution, and endurance on the night. Based on current data and fighting styles analysis, we foresee Shavkat Rakhmonov maintaining his winning streak. Yet, the beauty of martial arts is its raw unpredictability, reminding us that until the last bell rings, anything is possible. So, here’s looking forward to a pulsating clash between these two UFC standouts at UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington.

61%
PROBABILITY
39%

-162

ODDS

+136

Orthodox

STANCE

Orthodox

17-0-0

RECORD

17-6-1

12

WINSTREAK

0

7

WINS BY KO

7

5

WINS BY SUB

1

0

WINS BY DECISION

7

77"

REACH

75"

77"

LEG REACH

75"

28

AGE

40