In the world of mixed martial arts (MMA), unpredictability is a common theme. However, predictions, based on extensive analysis of fighters’ styles, track records, their strengths, weaknesses, and their performance in previous matches, often provide a reliable forecast of the outcome. This article sets out to predict the winner of the upcoming heavyweight brawl between Dricus Du Plessis and Israel Adesanya for UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya.

In one corner, we have Dricus Du Plessis. With a professional Mixed Martial Arts record of 17 wins and 2 losses and a combat history rich with championships in various MMA promotions, Du Plessis is a force to be reckoned with. The South African powerhouse has made a name for himself primarily through his extraordinary skills in grappling, wrestling, and his brutal knockout power.

Throughout his career, Du Plessis has proved his mettle in the cage and has emerged victorious largely by finishing matches either through submission or straight-up knockout. He has also shown adept endurance and resilience, often weathering brutal assaults and turning the tables on his opponents.

In the other corner, we have Israel Adesanya, the Nigerian-born New Zealander who stands as one of the most distinguished figures in UFC’s middleweight circuit. Blessed with a professional MMA record of 21 wins and only one loss – that loss being in 2021 against Jan Blachowicz, Adesanya is universally regarded as an elite UFC fighter. Predominantly famed for his striking mastery, Adesanya’s style involves a potent blend of boxing, kickboxing, and Muay Thai.

Adesanya, known as ‘The Last Stylebender’, has done more than enough to live up to his nickname. few fighters, if any, in the ufc can match his raw talent and creativity in the striking department. his unpredictability and ability to adjust quickly mid-fight have caught many of his opponents off guard. he has repeatedly demonstrated the ability to take down veteran fighters while making it look easy.

In comparing the two fighters, the first point of difference is their preferred fighting styles. Du Plessis, with his strength in grappling and wrestling, would look to take the fight to the ground, whereas Adesanya would want to keep the fight standing where he can leverage his striking skills. The fight largely hinges on who can best impose their preferred style in the ring.

When it comes to physical attributes, Adesanya appears to have an advantage. Standing 6’4” tall and boasting an 80-inch reach, Adesanya can work on his opponent from range. He might just have the edge over Du Plessis whose standup game, though formidable, is not as polished or diverse.

Mentality plays a paramount role in any fight, especially at the level of the UFC. Both fighters have shown exceptional mental strength in their careers so far. However, Du Plessis’ two losses signal that he could be vulnerable against the highest caliber of competition. In contrast, Adesanya has remained mostly unfazed, even when put up against fearing opponents. This suggests Adesanya might have the psychological edge in the bout.

Looking into the statistics of matches, Adesanya has a better striking accuracy at 49% compared to Du Plessis 46%. In addition, Adesanya also has a better defense against significant strikes at 65%. Despite Du Plessis having a higher takedown average per 15 minutes of fight time at 1.55 compared to Adesanya’s 0.35, it’s important to note that Adesanya’s takedown defense stands at a staggering 86%, compared to Du Plessis’ 33%. This suggests that Adesanya would be able to effectively neutralize Du Plessis’ attempts to turn the match into a ground-and-pound slugfest.

In conclusion, while MMA is famously unpredictable, it is safe to predict that Israel Adesanya will triumph over Dricus Du Plessis in their upcoming face-off at UFC 305. Adesanya’s striking prowess, his physical advantages, takedown defense, and proven successful championship experience position him as the favorite. That said, an upset is always a possibility in the world of MMA, and Du Plessis certainly possesses the talent and power to make it a reality. But for now, it seems ‘The Last Stylebender’ shows clear signs of coming out on top in this duel.

53%
PROBABILITY
47%

114

ODDS

-185

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STANCE

Switch

21-2-0

RECORD

24-3-0

4

WINSTREAK

19

7

WINS BY KO

15

9

WINS BY SUB

0

0

WINS BY DECISION

7

76"

REACH

80"

76"

LEG REACH

80"

30

AGE

34