As the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira approaches, all eyes are set on the electrifying match between Brazilian fighters, Jessica Andrade and Mackenzie Dern. The contest will be a battle of styles, with Andrade’s power-striking meeting Dern’s world-class grappling, and at such close odds, picking a winner is no easy task. However, on a careful analysis of various aspects, my prediction leans towards Jessica Andrade emerging victorious in this highly-anticipated duel.

A glance into Andrade’s track record reveals a fighter with tremendous experience and tenacity. Nicknamed ‘Bate Estaca,’ or ‘Pile-driver,’ Andrade has had an impressive UFC career. With a record of 21-9-0, she has demonstrated her fierce striking power multiple times inside the Octagon. After moving up to the Flyweight class, she has flourished, recently knocking out former title challenger Katlyn Chookagian in the first round and challenging current champion Valentina Shevchenko.

On the other hand, there is Mackenzie Dern, a jiu-jitsu specialist with a 10-1-0 MMA record. Her game is formidable on the ground where she has submitted prominent opponents using her brilliant Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu skills. However, despite being an excellent grappler, her striking game has so far been deemed weaker, and this is where Andrade could carve an opening.

One key point in this prediction is the difference in experience. With more than 30 professional fights under her belt, Andrade is the more seasoned fighter. She has faced tougher challenges and emerged stronger, shaping her into a seasoned martial artist. Meanwhile, Dern, with 11 fights, lacks when it comes to world-class striking experience in the UFC, which might go against her when trading blows with Andrade.

It’s worth mentioning that Andrade is a ferocious striker with serious knockout power, something that Dern has yet to face in her UFC career. Dern’s hope might lie on the canvas, luring Andrade into her ground game to exploit her jiu-jitsu expertise. But Andrade is known for dictating the pace of the match and keeping it standing, refusing to follow opponents into their comfort zone.

Furthermore, Andrade’s impressive takedown defense at 76% could pose difficulties for Dern if she relies too heavily on her ground game. Andrade’s ability to keep the fight standing would enable her to fire power shots to exploit Dern’s less experienced stand-up game.

It should be noted that predicting a fight is not foolproof. In MMA, the table can turn within seconds, depending on a wide range of variables such as fighters’ form, injuries, and strategies. Nevertheless, analyzing the fight on paper, Jessica Andrade seems to have a more rounded skill set for this clash.

In summary, while Mackenzie Dern’s ground game could pose a significant threat to any opponent, it seems less likely that she will be able to overcome the striking prowess and experience of Jessica Andrade. Given Andrade’s performance trend, experience, and evident strengths over Dern’s presumed weaknesses, my prediction is that Jessica Andrade will claim the victory at the UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira. Let’s look forward to a night of unforgettable UFC action!

43%
PROBABILITY
57%

+130

ODDS

-155

Orthodox

STANCE

Orthodox

25-12-0

RECORD

13-4-0

4

WINSTREAK

5

9

WINS BY KO

0

7

WINS BY SUB

7

6

WINS BY DECISION

4

62"

REACH

63"

62"

LEG REACH

63"

32

AGE

29