Israel Adesanya
Israel Adesanya
Paulo Costa
62%
PROBABILITY
38%

-170

ODDS

+133

19-0-0

EXPERIENCE

13-0-0

19

WINSTREAK

12

14

WINS BY KO

11

0

WINS BY SUB

0

0

WINS BY DECISION

0

80"

REACH

72"

31

AGE

29

Paulo Costa

Look no further for the most in-depth Adesanya vs Costa Prediction and analysis online. Sat. Sept. 27 is looking to bring massive action to fight fans, as we finally get to see the grudge match between the worlds two greatest middleweights. With both men undefeated in mixed martial arts, and both specializing in knockouts, it’s hard to see this not being a classic for the books. The champ may have received criticism for his last outing against Yoel Romero, however the aggression of his opponent will likely press the issue for excitement at UFC 253. To break down the fight we will provide each fighters path to victory, and then our overall prediction for you to wager.

Paulo Costa’s Path to Victory

If you’ve seen one Paulo Costa fight, then you know the man has one style and its moving forward and swinging to knock your block off. It may sound one-dimensional, but his results speak for themselves. The only big question-mark around the number one contender is his abilities in the later round. The problem with large power hitters, is the power decreases with loss of energy. As the fight goes into the later rounds, Adesanya will likely be the faster striker.

Costa needs to do what he does best to keep his perfect record intact. Walk down the champ with relentless pressure and drop his atomic bombs in striking range. Trading three of Adesanya’s shots for one is still likely to benefit Costa. Not that Adesanya couldn’t just snipe him with one shot, but a direct bazooka blast is more likely to land in a gun fight.

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Israel Adesanya’s Path to Victory

The champ is more experienced, faster, and more diverse in his strikes. He needs to leverage his advantages at distance to avoid the bombs coming his way. Its not going to be easy, but we’re going to need to see that slick counter-striking while stepping backwards, which Adesanya is very capable of. The champ loves to use his unique kicking game, however it’s doubtful Costa will give time for the setup. Instead Adesanya will need to rely on his hand strikes, which are not bad, but not comparable to his opponent. He can try chopping the tree legs of his opponent, but he can expect bombs to come in the counter from Costa. I’m sure the City Kickboxing coaches are currently drilling into Adesanya to tire and frustrate Costa with his ability to dodge haymakers for three rounds. Then as his opponent deflates, start looking for the kill shot. Of course in MMA game-plans can go out the window quick in a striking affair.

Prediction for Adesanya vs. Costa

Adesanya by fifth round TKO. The champ has proven his endurance in five rounds, as well as his ability to come back from eating haymakers. As long as he can avoid the juggernaut assaults from Costa, the champ will be able to pick him apart in the championship rounds.